Bloomberg by the Numbers: 47

Photograph by Tim Sloan/AFP via Getty Images

President George W. Bush waves to supporters after a campaign rally speech at an outdoor baseball stadium in this 2004 file photo.

That’s how many states that either voted for George W. Bush in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections or opposed him both times.

The three exceptions were Iowa and New Mexico, which voted for Bush in 2004 after backing Democrat Al Gore in 2000, and New Hampshire, which sided with 2004 Democratic nominee John Kerry four years after Bush carried the state.

How many states that President Barack Obama won in 2008 will back Republican challenger Mitt Romney in the Nov. 6 election?

One state highly likely to do so is Indiana, where Romney has a comfortable lead in polls four years after Obama’s surprise one-point win in a state that abuts his native Illinois.

Obama and Romney are spending most of their time competing for 110 electoral votes in nine states, all of which voted Democratic four years ago. Obama’s winning margins of victory ranged from three-tenths of one percentage point in North Carolina to 14 percentage points in Wisconsin, the home state of Republican vice-presidential nominee Paul Ryan. The other so-called swing states are Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire.

Obama probably won’t carry any state he didn’t win in 2008. Missouri and Montana were the only two states to back Republican nominee John McCain by fewer than five percentage points, and Romney has the edge in both.

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