Gallup Vote-Tracking Sandy-Stalled: Early Voting Leaned Republican

Photograph by Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Early voters wait in line to vote in the presidential election on the first day of early voting at a polling station setup at the City of Miami City Hall on Oct. 27, 2012 in Florida.

For a second day now, the seven-day rolling average of the Gallup Poll will be interrupted by what is now a post-tropical cyclone bound for western New York State after leaving a trail of flooding and wreckage in New Jersey and New York City.

“Gallup will not conduct daily tracking surveys for a second night, Tuesday, Oct. 30, due to the ongoing effects of Superstorm Sandy and will continue to reassess the situation on a day-to-day basis,” the pollsters state. “Gallup will provide an update on Wednesday about plans from that point forward. ”

When Gallup last polled, the contest between President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney was dead even among registered voters, with a 5-percentage point advantage for Romney among likely voters.

Gallup also found that 15 percent of American voters had cast their ballots early, and that more Republicans than Democrats had voted.

By 19-15 percent, Gallup reports, “a slightly higher percentage of Republicans than Democrats have already voted. When those who intend to vote before Election Day are factored in, the gap is similar: 37 percent of Republicans vs. 33 perfect of Democrats. However, when one looks at the voting intentions of likely voters according to candidate support, the political impact for the two candidates appears to be roughly equal. Of Barack Obama’s supporters, 15 percent have already voted and a total of 33 percent indicate they will vote early. Of Mitt Romney’s supporters, the figures are 17 percent and 34 percent, respectively.”


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