California and New York enter Election Day as the two states with the highest number of endangered House incumbents, according to the latest ratings by political analyst Charlie Cook.
Each state counts six incumbents most likely not to return to Washington in January. California’s congressional districts were drawn by an independent commission, while New York’s were imposed by a panel of federal judges after the state legislature was unable to draw the new lines.
The endangered list includes Republican Dan Lungren of California, in a rematch with Democrat Ami Bera, and Republican Ann Marie Buerkle of New York, facing former Democratic Rep. Dan Maffei, who she ousted two years ago.
Republican Rep. Mary Bono Mack is also vulnerable. Her husband, Rep. Connie Mack of Florida, is trailing in polls in his race for U.S. Senate in Florida.
Lois Capps is the only vulnerable Democrat in California, not including the loser of the intraparty race between incumbents Brad Sherman and Howard Berman.
In New York, Democrats Kathy Hochul, Tim Bishop and Bill Owens are also rated as vulnerable, as are Republican incumbents Nan Hayworth and Chris Gibson.