That’s one of the president’s worst showings during his 22 quarters in office, and just barely ahead of his average 42.4 percent approval rating in the first quarter.
Obama’s approval rating is unlikely to move much before the November elections, in which Democrats are unlikely to overturn the Republicans’ House majority and are trying to keep control of a 55-45 Senate majority amid an unfavorable map. Democrats are the defending party in seven states Obama lost in the 2012 election, including six where his margin of defeat was at least 13.7 percentage points.
“Obama’s unpopularity is likely to be a greater factor in the Senate elections, as Democratic Senate incumbents elected in a strong Democratic year of 2008 must face re-election this year in a much less favorable election environment for them,” Gallup’s Jeffrey M. Jones said in a written analysis.
The party controlling the White House almost always loses ground in Congress in midterm elections.