Overview

The Fed’s fastest tightening in 40 years, war on Europe’s doorstep and a stumbling recovery in China add up to a volatile outlook for the global economy. Kickstart Q4 and explore the outlook into 2024 with our global economics team in London.

The event will feature Bill Dudley, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, along with presentations and panel discussions on the outlook for the US, Europe, China, emerging markets, and how economic surprises impact the market. Engage with speakers and colleagues to gain actionable insights on today’s challenges and tomorrow’s opportunities.

The event will conclude with a networking reception. We hope you can join us.

Agenda

13:30 – 14:00

Registration

14:00 – 14:05

Welcome and Introduction

Speakers:
14:05 – 14:15

A Journey Through the Cycle

Speakers: Tom Orlik
14:15 – 14:45

Teflon No More – Global Outlook

Speakers: Stuart Paul, David Powell, Chang Shu
Moderator: Clive Crook
14:45 – 15:05

Mission Accomplished for Fed? – Bill Dudley in conversation with Stephanie Flanders

Speakers: Bill Dudley
Moderator:
15:05 – 15:20

Break

15:20 – 15:50

Sundown for Sunak? UK Outlook

Speakers: Dan Hanson, Flavia Krause-Jackson, Allegra Stratton
Moderator:
15:50 – 16:00

Higher or Lower? Forecasting Neutral Rates

16:00 – 16:30

In a Cycle of Their Own – Emerging Market Outlook

Speakers: Selva Bahar Baziki, Abhishek Gupta, Alexander Isakov
Moderators: Ziad Daoud
16:30 – 16:45

From Macro to Markets

Speakers: Björn van Roye, Anna Wong
16:45 – 18:00

Networking reception

Speakers

Photo of Bill Dudley

Bill Dudley

Former President
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2009–2018

William C. Dudley became the tenth president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York on January 27, 2009. He also served as the vice chairman and was a permanent member of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

Dudley was born in Springfield, Massachusetts. Although he spent his freshman year of college at Columbia University in New York City he received his bachelor’s degree from New College of Florida in 1974. He received his doctorate in economics from the University of California, Berkeley in 1982.

Prior to joining the New York Fed, Dudley was a partner and managing director at Goldman, Sachs & Company and was the firm’s chief US economist for a decade. Before he joined Goldman Sachs in 1986, he was a vice president at the former Morgan Guaranty Trust Company. Prior to that, he was an economist at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System in Washington, DC, from 1981 to 1983, so he was not a stranger to the Federal Reserve System when he joined the New York Fed in 2007.

Dudley served as executive vice president of the Markets Group, where he also managed the System Open Market Account for the FOMC. As a leader of both the Markets Group and of the Reserve Bank at large, he has seen the New York Fed weather through the most devastating economic storm since the Great Depression. On identifying himself as a “New York Fed person,” Mr. Dudley said that “people are here [at the New York Fed] because they want to work on policy and want to make a difference…contributing something very positive to society.”1

In 2012, Dudley was appointed chairman of the Committee on the Global Financial System at the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). Previously, he served as chairman of the Committee on Payment and Settlement Systems at the BIS from 2009 to 2012.

Photo of Selva Bahar Baziki

Selva Bahar Baziki

Emerging Markets Economist
Bloomberg

Selva Bahar Baziki is the Turkey and Sweden Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Previously, Selva was the Director of Macro Financial Analysis at the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey and worked in the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. Selva holds a Ph.D. in Economics from Uppsala University, Sweden.

Photo of Clive Crook

Clive Crook

Columnist
Bloomberg Opinion

Clive Crook is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and writes editorials on economics, finance and politics. He was chief Washington commentator for the Financial Times, a correspondent and editor for the Economist and a senior editor at the Atlantic.

Photo of Ziad Daoud

Ziad Daoud

Chief Emerging Markets Economist
Bloomberg Economics

Ziad Daoud is the Chief Emerging Markets Economist at Bloomberg and a Senior Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Prior to that, he was the Chief Middle East Economist at Bloomberg, Head of Economics at QNB Group, and an economist at Fulcrum Asset Management. He holds a PhD in economics from the London School of Economics and a BSc in economics and statistics from University College London.

Photo of Abhishek Gupta

Abhishek Gupta

India Economist
Bloomberg

Abhishek Gupta is a Senior Economist covering India and S. Asian frontier economies for Bloomberg Economics in Mumbai. He has close to 15 years of experience as an academic and a market economist. He has previously worked at the Bank of America Merrill Lynch and at the National Institute of Public Finance and Policy. He has a PhD in Economics from Johns Hopkins University and an M.A. in economics from the Delhi School of Economics.

Photo of Dan Hanson

Dan Hanson

Chief UK Economist
Bloomberg Economics

Dan Hanson is the Chief UK Economist for Bloomberg Economics, based in London, where he leads the team responsible for analysing the UK economy. An experienced macroeconomist, Dan’s research focuses on the interaction between financial markets and the real economy. He makes regular appearances in print, on radio and on television.

Prior to joining Bloomberg in 2015, he was an economic adviser at the UK Treasury where he was responsible for the macroeconomic model and provided senior officials and ministers with analysis of short and medium term prospects for the UK economy. Prior to that he spent several years working on fiscal policy issues and was part of the team that set up the Office for Budget Responsibility in 2010. He holds a BSc in Economics from the University of Nottingham and an MSc in Economic Policy from University College London.

Photo of Alexander Isakov

Alexander Isakov

Russia and CEE Economist
Bloomberg L.P.
Alex Isakov is the Russia and CEE Economist for Bloomberg Economics. Previously, Alex was Chief Economist for Russia and CIS at Russia’s largest investment bank, VTB Capital, and researcher at the Bank of Russia.
Photo of Flavia Krause-Jackson

Flavia Krause-Jackson

Executive Editor
Bloomberg News

Flavia Krause-Jackson is executive editor in Bloomberg’s London bureau.

She oversees economics and government coverage in Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Latin Amercia.

Krause-Jackson was previously managing editor for U.S. government coverage in the Washington bureau. Before that, she was managing editor for political coverage of Western and Eastern Europe, based in London. She previously was the UK government team leader.

She has been at Bloomberg since 2002 and previously covered the intersection of emerging markets, international policy and economics. She also was a diplomatic correspondent in Washington and a correspondent in Rome.

Krause-Jackson was a Nieman Fellow at Harvard University in 2013-14.

Photo of Tom Orlik

Tom Orlik

Chief Economist
Bloomberg Economics

Tom Orlik is Bloomberg’s Chief Economist, based in Washington DC. Previously, Tom was the Chief Asia economist for Bloomberg and China economics correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, based in Beijing. Prior to a decade in China, he worked at the British Treasury, European Commission, and International Monetary Fund. He is the author of Understanding China’s Economic Indicators and China: The Bubble that Never Pops.

Photo of Stuart Paul

Stuart Paul

US Economist
Bloomberg Economics
Stuart Paul covers the US and Canadian economies for Bloomberg Economics, where he provides forecasts, research and analysis for Terminal subscribers. He previously worked as a macroeconomist for Thiel Macro, LLC – a discretionary macro hedge fund in Los Angeles. Stuart started his career as a financial services policy analyst at Washington Analysis, LLC, where he analyzed the market implications of regulatory and monetary policy changes. Stuart completed his doctorate in economics at George Mason University, where he was also taught macroeconomics and econometrics, and earned his undergraduate degree in economics from New York University.
Photo of David Powell

David Powell

Senior Economist
Bloomberg L.P.

David Powell is a senior euro-area economist for Bloomberg Economics in London. He previously worked at Bank of America – Merrill Lynch. David is the author of “The Trader’s Guide to the Euro Area: Economic Indicators, the ECB and the Euro Crisis.” He holds a master’s degree from the London School of Economics and is a CFA charterholder.

Photo of Chang Shu

Chang Shu

Chief Asia Economist
Bloomberg Economics

Chang Shu is Bloomberg’s Chief Asia Economist, based in Hong Kong. She leads a team to research into China, Japan, Australia and other major economies in the Asia-Pacific. She previously worked as a senior economist at the Bank for International Settlements and Hong Kong Monetary Authority. In those capacities, she researched widely into the global and Chinese economies. She was also closely involved into policy work including renminbi internationalisation. Prior to these, she also worked at the Bank of England. She is also a director at the Chinese Financial Association of Hong Kong.

Photo of Allegra Stratton

Allegra Stratton

Contributing Editor
Bloomberg News

Allegra Stratton is a Bloomberg News contributing editor who writes the Readout newsletter. She previously worked in the UK government and is co-founder of Zeroism, a climate and energy consultancy.

Photo of Björn van Roye

Björn van Roye

Head of Global Economic Modelling
Bloomberg Economics

Björn van Roye (PhD) is the Head of Global Economic Modelling for Bloomberg Economics in Madrid. He previously worked as a Team Lead Economist at the European Central Bank and a Research economist at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy. He is also visiting Professor of Advanced Macroeconomics at the University of Oxford.

Photo of Anna Wong

Anna Wong

Chief US Economist
Bloomberg Economics

Before joining Bloomberg as chief US economist, Anna Wong worked as principal economist at federal reserve board of governors, chief international economist at White House council of economist, and deputy director of office of international economic analysis at US Treasury.

When & Where

Friday 8 September 2023
14:00 – 18:00 BST

Bloomberg
3 Queen Victoria Street
London
EC4N 4TQ